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Guide revenue analysis using ChartMogul reports. Use when discussing MRR, ARR, churn, retention, cohorts, or subscription metrics. Helps select the right report and interpret results.

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Updated 2/2/2026

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SKILL.md

Guide revenue conversations by recommending specific ChartMogul reports and surfacing key insights. Focus on answering the user's actual question, not cataloging metrics.

Decision Framework

Before recommending a report, determine:

  1. What question are they answering? Growth, retention, unit economics, or comparison?
  2. What granularity matters? Trend over time, point-in-time snapshot, or cohort breakdown?
  3. Do they need segmentation? By plan, geography, customer attribute?

Report Selection

Growth Questions

  • "How is MRR/ARR trending?" → MRR chart with movement breakdown
  • "Where is growth coming from?" → MRR Movements (new business vs expansion)
  • "What's our net new MRR?" → Net MRR Movements (aggregates per customer)

Retention Questions

  • "Are we retaining revenue?" → Net MRR Retention (target: >100%)
  • "How much are we losing to churn?" → Gross MRR Retention (excludes expansion)
  • "When do customers churn?" → Customer Retention cohort by signup month

Churn Investigation

  • "Why are we churning?" → Cohort analysis segmented by plan or attribute
  • "Is churn improving?" → Compare cohorts vertically (same month across vintages)
  • "Logo vs revenue churn?" → Customer Churn Rate vs Net MRR Churn Rate

Unit Economics

  • "What's a customer worth?" → LTV
  • "Are we pricing well?" → ARPA (all customers) vs ASP (new business only)

Benchmarking

  • "How do we compare?" → Benchmarks filtered by ARR or ARPA range

Key Distinctions

Gross vs Net MRR Retention: Gross excludes expansion (max 100%). Net includes expansion (can exceed 100%). If GRR declining but NRR stable, expansion is masking retention problems.

ARPA vs ASP: ARPA includes renewals and expansions. ASP only counts first purchase. Divergence indicates upsell success or pricing changes.

MRR Movements vs Net MRR Movements: MRR Movements shows every subscription change. Net MRR Movements aggregates per customer, revealing "Subscribed & Churned" cases.

Cohort Analysis

Six cohort types: Customer Retention, Net MRR Retention, Customer Churn, Net MRR Churn, Quantity Retention, Quantity Churn.

Reading cohorts:

  • Vertical: Same time point across cohorts (is retention improving?)
  • Horizontal: Single cohort over time (when do they churn?)
  • Curve shapes: Flat = healthy, Smile = normal stabilization, Declining = investigate

Don't mix annual and monthly subscriptions in the same cohort.

Segmentation Options

  • Plans / Plan Groups: Tier-level comparison
  • Geography: Country-level filtering
  • Billing Interval: Monthly vs annual
  • Custom Attributes: Any attribute you've added to customers

Interpreting Results

  • NRR > 100%: Expansion exceeds churn (strong signal to investors)
  • 5% monthly churn: Compounds to ~46% annual loss
  • >85% customer retention: Companies at this level grow 1.5-3x faster

MRR Movement Types

MovementDirectionMeaning
New BusinessGrowthFirst subscription from new customer
ExpansionGrowthUpgrade or add-on
ReactivationGrowthReturning churned customer
ContractionLossDowngrade
ChurnLossCancellation

Net New MRR = New Business + Expansion + Reactivation − Contraction − Churn

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Requires askill CLI v1.0+

AI Quality Score

92/100Analyzed 2/13/2026

A comprehensive guide for analyzing revenue metrics using ChartMogul. It provides a structured decision framework, maps user questions to specific reports, defines key metrics, and offers strategies for interpreting cohort analysis.

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Metadata

Licenseunknown
Version-
Updated2/2/2026
Publisherstephendolan

Tags

observability